Serie A · 2023Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Juventus

LLDWL

2–2Full-time recap

Atalanta

WWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Juventus	Atalanta
Shots	18 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.32 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Juventus: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.31 xG. Atalanta: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.31 xG · Atalanta 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atalanta.

6.89 days▲Rest daysJuventus · Atalanta7 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Juventus	Atalanta	Baseline
Rest days	6.89 days	7 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus

3Draws

1Atalanta

1 Oct 2023Atalanta — Juventus · Serie A0–0

7 May 2023Atalanta — Juventus · Serie A0–2

22 Jan 2023Juventus — Atalanta · Serie A3–3

13 Feb 2022Atalanta — Juventus · Serie A1–1

27 Nov 2021Juventus — Atalanta · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 3 · 6 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲1.82 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.14 goals/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/281.49 xG/match

0.75 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 28/281.11 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2813.9 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2812 shots/match

4.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/28▲5.32 shots/match

3.07 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/284 shots/match

48.2%Possessionseason · 28/28●50.4%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/28●5.57 corners/match

4.43 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/28▲4.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2812.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2839%

89%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2886%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus42.5

Atalanta47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus75.8

Atalanta84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus84.2

Atalanta60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5

Atalanta72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus57.5

Atalanta67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus62.5

Atalanta87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus67.5

Atalanta81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Juventus28 matchesAtalanta28 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲1.82 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.14 goals/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.49 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots28/2813.9 shots/match

4.18 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲5.32 shots/match

48.2%Possession28/28●50.4%

5 corners/matchCorners28/28●5.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Juventus14 matchesAtalanta14 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.43 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match

1.58 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.05 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.1 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.86 shots/match

48.6%●Possession14/1448.5%

5.64 corners/match●Corners14/144.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4