Serie A · 2023

Genoa 2–3 Monza · Serie A

Genoa

DLDWL
2–3Historical match

Monza

DDWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza won 2–3.

Shots
229
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.111.71
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza beat Genoa 3–2. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Monza): shots 22–9, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.11–1.71, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible home split

moderate

Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionGenoa · Monza● 53.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaMonzaBaseline
Possession44.3%53.9%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsGenoa 22 shots, Monza 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsGenoa 6 shots, Monza 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.71 xGGenoa 2.11 xG, Monza 1.71 xG
  • Possession62%38%Genoa 62%, Monza 38%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerGenoa 10 corners, Monza 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsGenoa 11 fouls, Monza 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJunior Messias · Genoa · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Machín · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjed Spence · Genoa · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 77′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 18′ · 0.06 xG · goalMilan Badelj · Genoa · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 68′ · 0.07 xG · goalValentín Carboni · Monza · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 70′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAlessandro Vogliacco · Genoa · 42′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 79′ · 0.66 xG · goalMatteo Pessina · Monza · 8′ · 0.81 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 52′ · 0.82 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 52′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 22 shots, 6 on target, 2.86 xG. Monza: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 52′Vitinha · Genoa · 68′Matteo Pessina · Monza · 8′Dany Mota · Monza · 18′Daniel Maldini · Monza · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 2.86 xG · Monza 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
0Draws
1Monza
Monza — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa28 matchesMonza28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.11 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.29 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.12 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 3.75 shots/match
44.3%Possession28/28● 53.9%
4.21 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.14 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Mar 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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