Serie A · 2023

Inter 2–1 Genoa · Serie A

Inter

WWWWW
2–1Historical match

Genoa

WDLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.870.83
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Genoa): shots 15–10, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.87–0.83, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.56 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Genoa10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.78 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.3% ●PossessionInter · Genoa43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Possession56.3%43.7%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsInter 15 shots, Genoa 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsInter 5 shots, Genoa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.83 xGInter 1.87 xG, Genoa 0.83 xG
  • Possession62%38%Inter 62%, Genoa 38%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersInter 4 corners, Genoa 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls17 foulsInter 5 fouls, Genoa 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Retegui · Genoa · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 54′ · 0.04 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Genoa · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKristjan Asllani · Inter · 30′ · 0.09 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 34′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 23′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 25′ · 0.15 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 82′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 25′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG. Genoa: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kristjan Asllani · Inter · 30′Alexis Sánchez · Inter · 38′Johan Vásquez · Genoa · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.89 xG · Genoa 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Inter
2Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Inter · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A0–0
Inter — Genoa · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter27 matchesGenoa27 matches
2.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.07 goals/match
0.48 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.22 goals/match
2.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.86 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2710.7 shots/match
5.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.33 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession27/2743.7%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners27/274 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Mar 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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