PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lazio 1–0 Juventus · Serie A

Lazio

WLLLW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–0.

Shots
169
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.070.54
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Juventus 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Juventus): shots 16–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.07–0.54, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsLazio 16 shots, Juventus 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsLazio 4 shots, Juventus 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.54 xGLazio 1.07 xG, Juventus 0.54 xG
  • Possession65%35%Lazio 65%, Juventus 35%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersLazio 7 corners, Juventus 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Juventus 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 19′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Rugani · Juventus · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 52′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolò Casale · Lazio · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalAdam Marušić · Lazio · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 29′ · 0.19 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. Juventus: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adam Marušić · Lazio · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.07 xG · Juventus 0.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
1Draws
3Juventus
Juventus — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Juventus · Serie A2–1
Juventus — Lazio · Serie A3–0
Juventus — Lazio · Serie A2–2
Lazio — Juventus · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio30 matchesJuventus30 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.52 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 14.3 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.07 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession30/3048.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.13 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLazio — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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