PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Genoa

DWLLD
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaFrosinone
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.48 xG/match▲0.82 xG/match
Possession48%52%●
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls16 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Emanuele Valeri · Frosinone · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Frosinone · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmanuele Valeri · Frosinone · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Frosinone · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPol Lirola · Frosinone · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Frosinone · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimone Romagnoli · Frosinone · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimone Romagnoli · Frosinone · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 43′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlessandro Vogliacco · Genoa · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Frosinone · 36′ · 0.27 xG · goalStefano Sabelli · Genoa · 10′ · 0.39 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 30′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.54 xG. Frosinone: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 30′Reinier · Frosinone · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.54 xG · Frosinone 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible home split

moderate

Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Genoa
0Draws
1Frosinone
Frosinone — Genoa · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Frosinone in 4 · 4 too close

1.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.27 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/302.03 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/30▲1.18 xG/match
1.07 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 30/301.65 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲11.7 shots/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3015 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲3.97 shots/match
3.77 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/305.03 shots/match
44.1%Possessionseason · 30/30●51.7%
4.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/30●5.47 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/305.07 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3010 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/307%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3077%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa17.5
Frosinone52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa20
Frosinone47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa58.3
Frosinone9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa42.5
Frosinone22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa27.5
Frosinone7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa7.5
Frosinone82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa13.8
Frosinone43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Genoa30 matchesFrosinone30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.27 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/302.03 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲1.18 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots30/30▲11.7 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲3.97 shots/match
44.1%Possession30/30●51.7%
4.1 corners/matchCorners30/30●5.47 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3010 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Genoa15 matchesFrosinone15 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/152.33 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.06 xG/match
12.7 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.27 shots/match
46.7%Possession15/15●50.9%
5.4 corners/match●Corners15/154.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaFrosinone
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match