PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Torino 1–0 Monza · Serie A

Torino

LLDDW
1–0Historical match

Monza

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 1–0.

Shots
159
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.570.77
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Monza): shots 15–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.57–0.77, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsTorino 15 shots, Monza 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsTorino 6 shots, Monza 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.77 xGTorino 1.57 xG, Monza 0.77 xG
  • Possession62%38%Torino 62%, Monza 38%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersTorino 7 corners, Monza 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsTorino 9 fouls, Monza 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 75′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAndrea Carboni · Monza · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Buongiorno · Torino · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid Okereke · Torino · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrea Colpani · Monza · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Monza · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Vlašić · Torino · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetValentino Lazaro · Torino · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Tameze · Torino · 80′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 58′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 69′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.62 xG. Monza: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Antonio Sanabria · Torino · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.62 xG · Monza 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
2Draws
0Monza
Monza — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Torino · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino30 matchesMonza30 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.23 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.1 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 3.67 shots/match
51.9%Possession30/30● 53.6%
4.63 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.97 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headTorino — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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