Serie A · 2023

Monza 2–4 Napoli · Serie A

Monza

WLWWL
2–4Historical match

Napoli

WWDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–4.

Shots
719
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.42.2
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Monza 4–2. Recorded in this match (Monza – Napoli): shots 7–19, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.4–2.2, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Napoli17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaNapoliBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match17 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match17 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots19 shotsMonza 7 shots, Napoli 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsMonza 2 shots, Napoli 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG2.2 xGMonza 0.4 xG, Napoli 2.2 xG
  • Possession39%61%Monza 39%, Napoli 61%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersMonza 1 corner, Napoli 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsMonza 10 fouls, Napoli 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathías Olivera · Napoli · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 57′ · 0.04 xG · goalPiotr Zieliński · Napoli · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 62′ · 0.04 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Napoli · 61′ · 0.06 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 9′ · 0.09 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Monza · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 40′ · 0.16 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 55′ · 0.16 xG · goalGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 17′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 63′ · 0.30 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 69′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG. Napoli: 19 shots, 8 on target, 2.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Milan Đurić · Monza · 9′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 62′Victor Osimhen · Napoli · 55′Matteo Politano · Napoli · 57′Piotr Zieliński · Napoli · 61′Giacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.40 xG · Napoli 2.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
1Napoli
Napoli — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Napoli · Serie A2–0
Napoli — Monza · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza31 matchesNapoli31 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.66 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 17 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.48 shots/match
53.2%Possession31/31● 61.4%
4.84 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.32 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls31/319.61 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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