Serie A · 2023

Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–0.

Shots
713
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.940.55
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Fiorentina 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Fiorentina): shots 7–13, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.94–0.55, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6%PossessionJuventus · Fiorentina● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusFiorentinaBaseline
Possession47.6%57%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsJuventus 7 shots, Fiorentina 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsJuventus 2 shots, Fiorentina 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG0.55 xGJuventus 1.94 xG, Fiorentina 0.55 xG
  • Possession25%75%Juventus 25%, Fiorentina 75%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersJuventus 5 corners, Fiorentina 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsJuventus 16 fouls, Fiorentina 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Fiorentina · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonín Barák · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCarlos Alcaraz · Juventus · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 84′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 12′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 12′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 21′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 7 shots, 2 on target, 2.22 xG. Fiorentina: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Federico Gatti · Juventus · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 2.22 xG · Fiorentina 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Juventus
1Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A2–0
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus31 matchesFiorentina30 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored31/301.4 goals/match
0.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/301.17 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/301.29 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots31/3013.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target31/30▲ 4.5 shots/match
47.6%Possession31/30● 57%
5.13 corners/matchCorners31/30● 5.2 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3012.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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