PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Roma 1–0 Lazio · Serie A

Roma

WWDWD
1–0Historical match

Lazio

LLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.710.44
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Lazio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Lazio): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.71–0.44, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsRoma 15 shots, Lazio 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotRoma 3 shots, Lazio 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.44 xGRoma 0.71 xG, Lazio 0.44 xG
  • Possession46%54%Roma 46%, Lazio 54%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersRoma 3 corners, Lazio 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsRoma 14 fouls, Lazio 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Angeliño · Roma · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Roma · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Roma · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 42′ · 0.08 xG · goalMatías Vecino · Lazio · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · Roma · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 55′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. Lazio: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gianluca Mancini · Roma · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.72 xG · Lazio 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
1Draws
3Lazio
Lazio — Roma · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Roma — Lazio · Serie A3–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma31 matchesLazio31 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.19 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.1 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.24 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots31/3111.5 shots/match
3.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.55 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession31/3152.4%
4.13 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.13 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headRoma — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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