Serie A · 2023

Lazio 4–1 Salernitana · Serie A

Lazio

LLWWL
4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 4–1.

Shots
178
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.890.57
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Salernitana 4–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Salernitana): shots 17–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.89–0.57, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible away split

moderate

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.56 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.56 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsLazio 17 shots, Salernitana 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsLazio 6 shots, Salernitana 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.89 xG0.57 xGLazio 1.89 xG, Salernitana 0.57 xG
  • Possession66%34%Lazio 66%, Salernitana 34%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersLazio 9 corners, Salernitana 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsLazio 15 fouls, Salernitana 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adam Marušić · Lazio · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Salernitana · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · Salernitana · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatric · Lazio · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuis Alberto · Lazio · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Salernitana · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 87′ · 0.12 xG · goalMatías Vecino · Lazio · 14′ · 0.14 xG · goalChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · Salernitana · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 10′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 51′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 7′ · 0.24 xG · goalLuis Alberto · Lazio · 60′ · 0.24 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 16′ · 0.25 xG · goalFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 35′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.85 xG. Salernitana: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Felipe Anderson · Lazio · 7′Matías Vecino · Lazio · 14′Felipe Anderson · Lazio · 35′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 87′Loum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.85 xG · Salernitana 0.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lazio
0Draws
2Salernitana
Salernitana — Lazio · Serie A2–1
Salernitana — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Salernitana · Serie A1–3
Salernitana — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Salernitana · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Salernitana in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio32 matchesSalernitana32 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.81 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/322.13 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.8 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots32/3210.4 shots/match
3.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.25 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession32/3245.2%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners32/324.09 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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