PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 1–0 Empoli · Serie A

Lecce

DLWDL
1–0Historical match

Empoli

LLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 1–0.

Shots
143
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
2.670.12
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Empoli): shots 14–3, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 2.67–0.12, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce have a visible home split

moderate

Lecce's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Empoli11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceEmpoliBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsLecce 14 shots, Empoli 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsLecce 7 shots, Empoli 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG0.12 xGLecce 2.67 xG, Empoli 0.12 xG
  • Possession54%46%Lecce 54%, Empoli 46%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersLecce 10 corners, Empoli 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsLecce 18 fouls, Empoli 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roberto Piccoli · Lecce · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Blin · Lecce · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Sansone · Lecce · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 20′ · 0.17 xG · on targetValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 20′ · 0.21 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 64′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 58′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 44′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blockedNicola Sansone · Lecce · 89′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.67 xG. Empoli: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Nicola Sansone · Lecce · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 2.67 xG · Empoli 0.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
1Empoli
Empoli — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Empoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce32 matchesEmpoli32 matches
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.78 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.5 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.95 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.1 shots/match
4.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.22 shots/match
43.8%Possession32/32● 44.4%
4.59 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.81 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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