PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 3–1 Genoa · Serie A

Roma

LWDWD
3–1Historical match

Genoa

DLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 3–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.570.5
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Genoa 3–1. Recorded in this match (Roma – Genoa): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.57–0.5, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.9% ●PossessionRoma · Genoa43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaGenoaBaseline
Possession55.9%43.5%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsRoma 16 shots, Genoa 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsRoma 7 shots, Genoa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.5 xGRoma 1.57 xG, Genoa 0.5 xG
  • Possession53%47%Roma 53%, Genoa 47%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersRoma 3 corners, Genoa 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsRoma 12 fouls, Genoa 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Roma
2Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Roma · Serie A4–1
Roma — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Roma · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma21 matchesGenoa21 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.86 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.99 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.7 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.29 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession21/2143.5%
3.9 corners/matchCorners21/21● 3.95 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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