Serie A · 2024

Bologna 3–1 Monza · Serie A

Bologna

WWLDD
3–1Historical match

Monza

LLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 3–1.

Shots
153
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.770.6
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Monza 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Monza): shots 15–3, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.77–0.6, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna.

2.76 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Monza4.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaMonzaBaseline
Rest days2.76 days4.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Monza9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaMonzaBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsBologna 15 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotBologna 6 shots, Monza 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.77 xG0.6 xGBologna 1.77 xG, Monza 0.6 xG
  • Possession62%38%Bologna 62%, Monza 38%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersBologna 2 corners, Monza 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBologna 12 fouls, Monza 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 34′ · 0.07 xG · goalBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 37′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 23′ · 0.24 xG · goalStefan Posch · Bologna · 37′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 69′ · 0.39 xG · goalDaniel Maldini · Monza · 4′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.88 xG. Monza: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 23′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 34′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 69′Daniel Maldini · Monza · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.88 xG · Monza 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
2Draws
1Monza
Monza — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–1
Monza — Bologna · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna20 matchesMonza21 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/210.95 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/211.48 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/210.91 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots20/219 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/212.67 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession20/2147.5%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners20/213.52 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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