Serie A · 2024

Juventus 2–0 Milan · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Milan

DWDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 2–0.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.080.97
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Milan 2–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Milan): shots 15–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.08–0.97, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Milan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.45 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventus, Milan.

3.89 days ▲Rest daysJuventus · Milan3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventusMilanBaseline
Rest days3.89 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsJuventus 15 shots, Milan 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsJuventus 6 shots, Milan 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.97 xGJuventus 1.08 xG, Milan 0.97 xG
  • Possession60%40%Juventus 60%, Milan 40%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersJuventus 5 corners, Milan 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsJuventus 19 fouls, Milan 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Mbangula · Juventus · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Gabbia · Milan · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmaël Bennacer · Milan · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 59′ · 0.03 xG · goalTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Milan · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTimothy Weah · Juventus · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 36′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPierre Kalulu · Juventus · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFrancesco Camarda · Milan · 89′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 27′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 19′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Juventus · 64′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.07 xG. Milan: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samuel Mbangula · Juventus · 59′Timothy Weah · Juventus · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.07 xG · Milan 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventus
2Draws
2Milan
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–0
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–1
Milan — Juventus · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus21 matchesMilan20 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/201.45 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/201.05 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals21/20▲ 1.66 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 5.6 shots/match
59.7% ●Possession21/2054.3%
5 corners/matchCorners21/20● 5.75 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls21/2011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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