Serie A · 2024

Inter 2–2 Bologna · Serie A

Inter

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2–2Historical match

Bologna

DWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter and Bologna drew 2–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.740.64
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter and Bologna drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Inter – Bologna): shots 12–14, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.74–0.64, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter, Bologna.

3.24 days ▲Rest daysInter · Bologna3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInterBolognaBaseline
Rest days3.24 days3.11 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsInter 12 shots, Bologna 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsInter 6 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.64 xGInter 1.74 xG, Bologna 0.64 xG
  • Possession48%52%Inter 48%, Bologna 52%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersInter 3 corners, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsInter 19 fouls, Bologna 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Bologna · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmil Holm · Bologna · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNicolò Casale · Bologna · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 15′ · 0.10 xG · goalFederico Dimarco · Inter · 19′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Bologna · 64′ · 0.11 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.25 xG · goalDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 19′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.82 xG. Bologna: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 19′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 15′Emil Holm · Bologna · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.82 xG · Bologna 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
1Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0
Inter — Bologna · Serie A6–1
Bologna — Inter · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter19 matchesBologna19 matches
2.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.53 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.32 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.3 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots19/1913.6 shots/match
5.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.95 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession19/1956.9%
6.16 corners/match ●Corners19/194.53 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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