PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Venezia

DDWLD
0–1Full-time recap

Inter

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVeneziaInter
Shots7 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.41 xG/match1.9 xG/match▲
Possession41%59%●
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMehdi Taremi · Inter · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 16′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 69′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGianluca Busio · Venezia · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIssa Doumbia · Venezia · 50′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMehdi Taremi · Inter · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 67′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 75′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 21′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 16′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG. Inter: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matteo Darmian · Inter · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 0.43 xG · Inter 1.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Venezia's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Venezia show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsVenezia · Inter15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaInterBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match8.61 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Venezia's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionVenezia · Inter●60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaInterBaseline
Possession43.6%60%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Venezia
0Draws
3Inter
Inter — Venezia · Serie A1–0
Inter — Venezia · Serie A2–1
Venezia — Inter · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Venezia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Inter in 11 · 2 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/18▲2.56 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/18▲0.83 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/18▲2 xG/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/18▲0.87 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/18▲15.9 shots/match
14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/18▲8.61 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/18▲5.72 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/18▲3.06 shots/match
43.6%Possessionseason · 20/18●60%
3.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/18●6.33 corners/match
6.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/18▲3 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/1811 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/18▲56%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/18▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Venezia22.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Venezia25.8
Inter96.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Venezia14.2
Inter90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Venezia22.5
Inter77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Venezia32.5
Inter12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Venezia2.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Venezia23.8
Inter75.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Venezia20 matchesInter18 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored20/18▲2.56 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed20/18▲0.83 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals20/18▲2 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots20/18▲15.9 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target20/18▲5.72 shots/match
43.6%Possession20/18●60%
3.35 corners/matchCorners20/18●6.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls20/1811 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Venezia10 matchesInter9 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/9▲2.78 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲0.56 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲2.09 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots10/9▲15.1 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲5.89 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/9●61.2%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/9●4.22 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/911.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples20 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVeneziaInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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