Serie A · 2024Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Parma

LLWDL
11Full-time recap

Venezia

DWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricParmaVenezia
Shots19 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.62 xG/match1.15 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lautaro Valenti · Parma · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEnrico Delprato · Parma · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Parma · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Parma · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEnrico Delprato · Parma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Parma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIssa Doumbia · Venezia · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 8′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 20′ · 0.82 xG · goalHernani · Parma · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.66 xG. Venezia: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hernani · Parma · 56′Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.66 xG · Venezia 1.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Parma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Venezia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Venezia have a visible away split

moderate

Venezia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.55 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.55 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Parma
0Draws
0Venezia
VeneziaParma · Serie A12

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Parma favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Venezia in 2 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/210.9 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/211.62 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/210.99 xG/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/211.64 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2110.1 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2114.9 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/213.48 shots/match
5.05 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/215.48 shots/match
44.8%Possessionseason · 21/2143.5%
5.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.29 corners/match
6.43 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/216.52 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.76 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2110%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2157%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Parma27.5
Venezia12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Parma49.2
Venezia24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Parma10
Venezia14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Parma92.5
Venezia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Parma2.5
Venezia35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Parma72.5
Venezia2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Parma42.5
Venezia24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Parma21 matchesVenezia21 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.9 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.62 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals21/210.99 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots21/2110.1 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target21/213.48 shots/match
44.8%Possession21/2143.5%
5.19 corners/matchCorners21/213.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.76 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Parma11 matchesVenezia11 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored11/110.73 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.91 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals11/110.73 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/118.55 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target11/112.45 shots/match
48.4%Possession11/1139.8%
4.73 corners/matchCorners11/112.91 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Parma vs Venezia — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath