Serie A · 2024

Bologna 2–2 Roma · Serie A

Bologna

WDWWL
2–2Historical match

Roma

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna and Roma drew 2–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.061.45
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna and Roma drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Roma): shots 14–11, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.06–1.45, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsBologna 14 shots, Roma 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsBologna 8 shots, Roma 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG1.45 xGBologna 2.06 xG, Roma 1.45 xG
  • Possession54%46%Bologna 54%, Roma 46%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersBologna 5 corners, Roma 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsBologna 18 fouls, Roma 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Saelemaekers · Roma · 58′ · 0.01 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Roma · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeandro Paredes · Roma · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRemo Freuler · Bologna · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Bologna · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Roma · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 76′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 71′ · 0.16 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 31′ · 0.19 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 1′ · 0.24 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 61′ · 0.46 xG · goalLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 65′ · 0.82 xG · goalArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.06 xG. Roma: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Thijs Dallinga · Bologna · 61′Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 65′Alexis Saelemaekers · Roma · 58′Artem Dovbyk · Roma · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.06 xG · Roma 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
1Draws
1Roma
Roma — Bologna · Serie A2–3
Roma — Bologna · Serie A1–3
Bologna — Roma · Serie A2–0
Bologna — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Bologna · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna18 matchesRoma20 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/201.4 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/201.3 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals18/20▲ 1.41 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots18/2013.7 shots/match
4.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/204.4 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession18/2056.1%
4.61 corners/match ●Corners18/203.95 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls18/2011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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