PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 1–0 Parma · Serie A

Genoa

DDLWD
1–0Historical match

Parma

LLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.060.3
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Parma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Parma): shots 14–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.06–0.3, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsGenoa 14 shots, Parma 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsGenoa 4 shots, Parma 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.3 xGGenoa 1.06 xG, Parma 0.3 xG
  • Possession61%39%Genoa 61%, Parma 39%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersGenoa 6 corners, Parma 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsGenoa 10 fouls, Parma 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morten Frendrup · Genoa · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Parma · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 65′ · 0.03 xG · goalLautaro Valenti · Parma · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 71′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEnrico Delprato · Parma · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLior Kasa · Genoa · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 23′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPontus Almqvist · Parma · 52′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 23′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLior Kasa · Genoa · 89′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMattia Bani · Genoa · 48′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG. Parma: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Morten Frendrup · Genoa · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.19 xG · Parma 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
1Draws
1Parma
Parma — Genoa · Serie A0–1
Parma — Genoa · Serie B2–0
Genoa — Parma · Serie B3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa20 matchesParma20 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.75 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.2 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 3.75 shots/match
43.4%Possession20/20● 44.1%
4.05 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.05 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls20/209.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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