PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 0–1 Juventus · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 0–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.352.13
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Cagliari 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Juventus): shots 8–14, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.35–2.13, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible home split

moderate

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionCagliari · Juventus● 58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Possession45.8%58.2%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Juventus 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsCagliari 2 shots, Juventus 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.35 xG2.13 xGCagliari 0.35 xG, Juventus 2.13 xG
  • Possession39%61%Cagliari 39%, Juventus 61%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCagliari 3 corners, Juventus 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsCagliari 9 fouls, Juventus 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dušan Vlahović · Juventus · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Cagliari · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Gatti · Juventus · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorinel Coman · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 36′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 78′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 29′ · 0.22 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 24′ · 0.25 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 22′ · 0.47 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 12′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG. Juventus: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dušan Vlahović · Juventus · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.31 xG · Juventus 2.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
3Juventus
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A2–2
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A1–2
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari26 matchesJuventus26 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.41 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5 shots/match
45.8%Possession26/26● 58.2%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners26/264.85 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headCagliari — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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