Serie A · 2024Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bologna

WDWLW

2–1Full-time recap

Cagliari

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	Cagliari
Shots	15 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.15 xG/match▲	0.55 xG/match
Possession	63%●	37%
Corners	4 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	24 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bologna: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.16 xG. Cagliari: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.16 xG · Cagliari 0.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna. A second useful context is: Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna.

2.76 days▲Rest daysBologna · Cagliari6.76 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Bologna	Cagliari	Baseline
Rest days	2.76 days	6.76 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.4 shots/match	12 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.23 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.23 shots/match	12 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Bologna

0Draws

2Cagliari

29 Oct 2024Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A0–2

14 Jan 2024Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1

2 Sept 2023Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1

11 Jan 2022Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1

1 Nov 2021Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 2 too close

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.56 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/271.21 xG/match

0.98 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/271.63 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2712 shots/match

8.96 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2714 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/273.37 shots/match

2.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.56 shots/match

58.4%●Possessionseason · 27/2745.5%

4.48 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/27●5.15 corners/match

3.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/274.93 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2711%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2756%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna92.5

Cagliari32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna70.8

Cagliari37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna82.5

Cagliari32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna27.5

Cagliari82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna87.5

Cagliari67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna47.5

Cagliari77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna70

Cagliari57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bologna27 matchesCagliari27 matches

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.56 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals27/271.21 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots27/2712 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target27/273.37 shots/match

58.4%●Possession27/2745.5%

4.48 corners/matchCorners27/27●5.15 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bologna14 matchesCagliari13 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.46 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.09 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots14/139.23 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target14/132.38 shots/match

60.9%●Possession14/1345.2%

5.64 corners/match●Corners14/134.08 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1313.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.76 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4