Serie A · 2024

Bologna 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Bologna

WDWLW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–1.

Shots
152
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.150.55
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Cagliari): shots 15–2, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.15–0.55, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna.

2.76 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Cagliari6.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaCagliariBaseline
Rest days2.76 days6.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.23 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.23 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots2 shotsBologna 15 shots, Cagliari 2 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotBologna 5 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.55 xGBologna 2.15 xG, Cagliari 0.55 xG
  • Possession63%37%Bologna 63%, Cagliari 37%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerBologna 4 corners, Cagliari 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls24 foulsBologna 15 fouls, Cagliari 24 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Calabria · Bologna · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Erlić · Bologna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Erlić · Bologna · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 43′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.54 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 56′ · 0.74 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 48′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.16 xG. Cagliari: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 48′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 56′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.16 xG · Cagliari 0.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
0Draws
2Cagliari
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna27 matchesCagliari27 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271 goal/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.56 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.21 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712 shots/match
4.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.37 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession27/2745.5%
4.48 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.15 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required