PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 1–1 Empoli · Serie A

Genoa

WLDWL
1–1Historical match

Empoli

DLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa and Empoli drew 1–1.

Shots
47
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.360.91
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa and Empoli drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Empoli): shots 4–7, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.36–0.91, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots7 shotsGenoa 4 shots, Empoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotGenoa 1 shot, Empoli 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.36 xG0.91 xGGenoa 0.36 xG, Empoli 0.91 xG
  • Possession61%39%Genoa 61%, Empoli 39%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersGenoa 3 corners, Empoli 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsGenoa 12 fouls, Empoli 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Junior Messias · Genoa · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 36′ · 0.06 xG · goalLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 81′ · 0.08 xG · goalMaxwel Cornet · Genoa · 76′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 60′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 15′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG. Empoli: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Johan Vásquez · Genoa · 81′Alberto Grassi · Empoli · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.30 xG · Empoli 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
4Draws
0Empoli
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A1–2
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa27 matchesEmpoli27 matches
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.85 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.63 goals/match
1.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.87 xG/match
10.9 shots/match ▲Shots27/279.37 shots/match
3.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/272.89 shots/match
45.1% ●Possession27/2740.6%
4.3 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.56 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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