PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Juventus · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 2–1.

Shots
2515
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
3.491.67
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Juventus 2–1. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Juventus): shots 25–15, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 3.49–1.67, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Juventus11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenJuventusBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots15 shotsPSV Eindhoven 25 shots, Juventus 15 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsPSV Eindhoven 10 shots, Juventus 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.49 xG1.67 xGPSV Eindhoven 3.49 xG, Juventus 1.67 xG
  • Possession59%41%PSV Eindhoven 59%, Juventus 41%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersPSV Eindhoven 6 corners, Juventus 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsPSV Eindhoven 14 fouls, Juventus 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Juventus · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 105′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 109′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 113′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.13 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 105′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNoa Lang · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNicolò Savona · Juventus · 104′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 50′ · 0.28 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 34′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 105′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 93′ · 0.38 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 74′ · 0.50 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 120′ · 0.55 xG · on targetRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 98′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 25 shots, 10 on target, 3.35 xG. Juventus: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′120′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 53′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 74′Ryan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 98′Timothy Weah · Juventus · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 3.35 xG · Juventus 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PSV Eindhoven
0Draws
2Juventus
Juventus — PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League2–1
Juventus — PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven10 matchesJuventus10 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.6 shots/match
7.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
55.8% ●Possession10/1051.1%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners10/103.9 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenJuventus
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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