La Liga · 2023Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Barcelona

DWWWW

3–2Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Barcelona	Celta Vigo
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.59 xG/match▲	1.54 xG/match
Possession	74%●	26%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Barcelona: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.54 xG. Celta Vigo: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 1.54 xG · Celta Vigo 1.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

70%●PossessionBarcelona · Celta Vigo43.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Possession	70%	43.7%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match●CornersBarcelona · Celta Vigo5.83 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	5.83 corners/match	4.75 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Barcelona

1Draws

1Celta Vigo

4 Jun 2023Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga2–1

9 Oct 2022Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0

10 May 2022Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1

6 Nov 2021Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 2 too close

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.29 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.4 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/614 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/611.7 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/65 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.17 shots/match

70%●Possessionseason · 6/643.7%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/65.83 corners/match

3.83 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/64.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5

Celta Vigo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona93.3

Celta Vigo53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona84.2

Celta Vigo54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona37.5

Celta Vigo97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona17.5

Celta Vigo27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona95

Celta Vigo87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona74.4

Celta Vigo63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona6 matchesCelta Vigo6 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.29 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots6/614 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match

70%●Possession6/643.7%

6 corners/match●Corners6/65.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona3 matchesCelta Vigo3 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.4 xG/match

18.7 shots/match▲Shots3/314.7 shots/match

8.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/37 shots/match

71.3%●Possession3/337%

7 corners/match●Corners3/35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4