La Liga · 2023Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

WLWLL
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaSevilla
Shots16 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.42 xG/match0.75 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Johan Mojica · Osasuna · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoan Jordán · Sevilla · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Rakitić · Sevilla · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKike Barja · Osasuna · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓliver Torres · Sevilla · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓliver Torres · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoan Jordán · Sevilla · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 70′ · 0.07 xG · on targetÓliver Torres · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 80′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 40′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 16 shots, 2 on target, 1.44 xG. Sevilla: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.44 xG · Sevilla 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Osasuna have a visible home split

weak

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/matchShotsOsasuna · Sevilla16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaSevillaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%PossessionOsasuna · Sevilla54.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaSevillaBaseline
Possession45.5%54.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Osasuna
1Draws
1Sevilla
SevillaOsasuna · La Liga23
OsasunaSevilla · La Liga21
OsasunaSevilla · La Liga00
SevillaOsasuna · La Liga20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 5 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/51.2 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/51.6 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/51.11 xG/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/51.43 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/516.6 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/512.4 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/54.2 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/53.4 shots/match
45.5%Possessionseason · 6/554.6%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/55.8 corners/match
5.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/54.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/511.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/540%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna27.5
Sevilla77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna41.7
Sevilla62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna76.7
Sevilla60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna57.5
Sevilla77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna7.5
Sevilla22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna47.5
Sevilla82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna35
Sevilla60.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna6 matchesSevilla5 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.2 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.6 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.11 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/516.6 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/54.2 shots/match
45.5%Possession6/554.6%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/511.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna3 matchesSevilla2 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
15 shots/matchShots3/2
4 shots/matchShots on target3/2
45.3%Possession3/2
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Osasuna vs Sevilla — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath