La Liga · 2023Tue, 26 Sept 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaBarcelona
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.79 xG/match1.89 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatija Nastasić · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 41′ · 0.04 xG · goalJoão Félix · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.13 xG · goalCyle Larin · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Barcelona · 21′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 8′ · 0.25 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 39′ · 0.28 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 75′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.79 xG. Barcelona: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 8′Abdón Prats · Mallorca · 45′Raphinha · Barcelona · 41′Fermín López · Barcelona · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.79 xG · Barcelona 1.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca, Barcelona. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.7%PossessionMallorca · Barcelona70%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 32.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession37.7%70%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca, Barcelona.

3.31 daysRest daysMallorca · Barcelona3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMallorcaBarcelonaBaseline
Rest days3.31 days3.12 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca
0Draws
4Barcelona
BarcelonaMallorca · La Liga30
MallorcaBarcelona · La Liga01
BarcelonaMallorca · La Liga21
MallorcaBarcelona · La Liga01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11 · 2 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/72.57 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.14 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/72.28 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.08 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/715.7 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/710.4 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/76.86 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/73.71 shots/match
37.7%Possessionseason · 7/770%
4.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.43 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/74.29 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/743%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca7.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca25.8
Barcelona89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca42.5
Barcelona82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca67.5
Barcelona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca77.5
Barcelona12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca27.5
Barcelona75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca35
Barcelona66.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca7 matchesBarcelona7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.57 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/72.28 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots7/715.7 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/76.86 shots/match
37.7%Possession7/770%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match
Cards0/0
17 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca3 matchesBarcelona4 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/42 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/41.5 goals/match
0.52 xG/matchExpected goals3/42.11 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots3/413.5 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/45.75 shots/match
34.3%Possession3/469%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/44.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/412 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Sept 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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