PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

WLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDeportivo AlavésOsasuna
Shots17 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.5 xG/match▲1.12 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners4 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Luis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Deportivo Alavés · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnder Guevara · Deportivo Alavés · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 36′ · 0.03 xG · goalJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Deportivo Alavés · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÁlex Sola · Deportivo Alavés · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRafa Marín · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Deportivo Alavés · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Sola · Deportivo Alavés · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalRubén García · Osasuna · 81′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Deportivo Alavés · 49′ · 0.75 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG. Osasuna: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′José Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 36′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.47 xG · Osasuna 1.12 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Alavés, Osasuna. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Alavés, Osasuna.

2.89 days▲Rest daysDeportivo Alavés · Osasuna2.78 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo AlavésOsasunaBaseline
Rest days2.89 days2.78 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Osasuna have a visible away split

weak

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés
0Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0
Deportivo Alavés — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 6 · 3 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.25 goals/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.11 xG/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.31 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/811.8 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲11.5 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.38 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.25 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 8/8●47.8%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/8●4.63 corners/match
3.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/84.63 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲38%
38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲63%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés32.5
Osasuna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés40.8
Osasuna30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés57.5
Osasuna75.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés82.5
Osasuna52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés72.5
Osasuna17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés25
Osasuna47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés53.1
Osasuna31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés8 matchesOsasuna8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.25 goals/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.11 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots8/811.8 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
46.5%Possession8/8●47.8%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8●4.63 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés4 matchesOsasuna4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match
1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.11 xG/match
13.3 shots/match▲Shots4/49 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match
40.3%Possession4/4●47.8%
3 corners/match●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.78 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsDeportivo AlavésOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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