PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisValencia
Shots15 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals1.71 xG/match▲0.66 xG/match
Possession56%●44%
Corners5 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Pablo Gozálbez · Valencia · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Domínguez · Valencia · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPepelu · Valencia · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMario Domínguez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFran Pérez · Valencia · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Paulista · Valencia · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 85′ · 0.06 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 52′ · 0.11 xG · goalAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMario Domínguez · Valencia · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 73′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 79′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGabriel Paulista · Valencia · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 41′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.69 xG. Valencia: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Assane Diao · Real Betis · 41′Marc Roca · Real Betis · 52′Abdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.69 xG · Valencia 0.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Valencia. A second useful context is: Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Valencia.

3.08 days▲Rest daysReal Betis · Valencia3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisValenciaBaseline
Rest days3.08 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Betis have a visible home split

weak

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis
1Draws
1Valencia
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga3–0
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga0–3
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 5 · 3 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.25 goals/match
1.08 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.02 xG/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.12 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/810.1 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲9.38 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.5 shots/match
51.8%●Possessionseason · 8/845.9%
4.88 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/83.25 corners/match
6.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis60
Valencia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis53.3
Valencia26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis41.7
Valencia84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis62.5
Valencia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis37.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis62.5
Valencia2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis54.4
Valencia21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis8 matchesValencia8 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.25 goals/match
1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.02 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots8/810.1 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/84 shots/match
51.8%●Possession8/845.9%
4.88 corners/match●Corners8/83.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFouls8/812.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis4 matchesValencia4 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match
0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.83 xG/match
16 shots/match▲Shots4/48.75 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
57%●Possession4/447.3%
5 corners/match●Corners4/42.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match