La Liga · 2023Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

DWLWW

3–2Full-time recap

Cádiz

DWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Cádiz
Shots	18 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.76 xG/match▲	0.84 xG/match
Possession	70%●	30%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.81 xG. Cádiz: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.81 xG · Cádiz 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid, Cádiz. A second useful context is: Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid, Cádiz.

2.98 days▲Rest daysAtlético Madrid · Cádiz3.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Cádiz	Baseline
Rest days	2.98 days	3.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cádiz have a visible away split

weak

Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.75 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7 shots/match	9.75 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cádiz's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cádiz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Atlético Madrid

0Draws

1Cádiz

3 May 2023Atlético Madrid — Cádiz · La Liga5–1

29 Oct 2022Cádiz — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–2

11 Mar 2022Atlético Madrid — Cádiz · La Liga2–1

28 Nov 2021Cádiz — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Cádiz in 0 · 3 too close

2.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/81 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/81.38 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/80.93 xG/match

0.91 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/81.51 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/89.75 shots/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/814.3 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/82.75 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/85.75 shots/match

50%●Possessionseason · 7/839.5%

4.86 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/84.25 corners/match

5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/85.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/817.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/825%

71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid47.5

Cádiz7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid70.8

Cádiz7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid73.3

Cádiz24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid22.5

Cádiz52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid17.5

Cádiz82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid52.5

Cádiz37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid46.2

Cádiz31.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid7 matchesCádiz8 matches

2.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.38 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals7/80.93 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots7/89.75 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/82.75 shots/match

50%●Possession7/839.5%

4.86 corners/match●Corners7/84.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/817.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atlético Madrid3 matchesCádiz4 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.25 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.63 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots3/47 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/42.5 shots/match

50.3%●Possession3/431.5%

4.67 corners/match●Corners3/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls3/416.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4