La Liga · 2023Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

DWWDL

3–0Full-time recap

Almería

LLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Almería
Shots	23 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.92 xG/match▲	0.1 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	6 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 23 shots, 9 on target, 1.93 xG. Almería: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.93 xG · Almería 0.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Almería have a visible away split

weak

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Almería.

6 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Almería5.29 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Athletic Club	Almería	Baseline
Rest days	6 days	5.29 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Athletic Club

0Draws

0Almería

22 Apr 2023Almería — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2

30 Sept 2022Athletic Club — Almería · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Almería in 2 · 4 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.22 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.67 goals/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.66 xG/match

0.83 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.77 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913.9 shots/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/915.2 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.89 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/96.11 shots/match

53%●Possessionseason · 9/950.6%

5.22 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/94.56 corners/match

3.78 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

56%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/90%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club67.5

Almería52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club62.5

Almería62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club74.2

Almería4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club52.5

Almería72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club57.5

Almería47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5

Almería47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club61.2

Almería61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club9 matchesAlmería9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.67 goals/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.66 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots9/913.9 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.89 shots/match

53%●Possession9/950.6%

5.22 corners/match●Corners9/94.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club5 matchesAlmería4 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.75 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.75 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.91 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/49 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/42.75 shots/match

53.2%●Possession5/444.8%

5.6 corners/match●Corners5/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.29 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4