La Liga · 2023Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

Getafe

LWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoGetafe
Shots26 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals3.09 xG/match0.7 xG/match
Possession74%26%
Corners13 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Unai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 33′ · 0.15 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.29 xG · goalJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.42 xG · goalBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 2′ · 0.46 xG · goalIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.47 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 26 shots, 11 on target, 3.26 xG. Getafe: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 24′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 42′Borja Mayoral · Getafe · 2′Mason Greenwood · Getafe · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 3.26 xG · Getafe 0.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Getafe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Getafe have a visible away split

moderate

Getafe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
2Getafe
GetafeCelta Vigo · La Liga10
Celta VigoGetafe · La Liga11
Celta VigoGetafe · La Liga02
GetafeCelta Vigo · La Liga03

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 2 · 5 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.67 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/90.98 xG/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.5 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/910.4 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913.1 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/94.33 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/95.33 shots/match
45.3%Possessionseason · 9/939.8%
6.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.11 corners/match
4.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/95.56 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/918.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo22.5
Getafe12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo59.2
Getafe40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo37.5
Getafe25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo92.5
Getafe67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo27.5
Getafe97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo82.5
Getafe2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo65.6
Getafe41.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo9 matchesGetafe9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.98 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots9/910.4 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/94.33 shots/match
45.3%Possession9/939.8%
6.11 corners/matchCorners9/93.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls9/918.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo5 matchesGetafe5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.91 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/58.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/535.2%
7 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/519.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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