La Liga · 2023Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

WLLDL

1–1Full-time recap

Real Betis

WLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Real Betis
Shots	15 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.35 xG/match▲	0.94 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.78 goals/match	1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis.

7.09 days▲Rest daysDeportivo Alavés · Real Betis6.9 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Real Betis	Baseline
Rest days	7.09 days	6.9 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés

0Draws

2Real Betis

18 Jan 2022Real Betis — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–0

18 Oct 2021Deportivo Alavés — Real Betis · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 3 · 3 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.44 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.06 xG/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.36 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/912.8 shots/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/912.9 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.89 shots/match

3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/94.67 shots/match

45.7%Possessionseason · 9/9●52.8%

4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●4.67 corners/match

3.11 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/96 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%

44%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés27.5

Real Betis57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés40.8

Real Betis42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés70.8

Real Betis43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés82.5

Real Betis32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés72.5

Real Betis37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés32.5

Real Betis67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés55

Real Betis48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés9 matchesReal Betis9 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.44 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.06 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots9/912.8 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.89 shots/match

45.7%Possession9/9●52.8%

4.11 corners/matchCorners9/9●4.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés5 matchesReal Betis5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.84 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

40%Possession5/5●49.4%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/5●4.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4