La Liga · 2023Sun, 21 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Girona FC

WWDWD

5–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona FC	Sevilla
Shots	12 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.29 xG/match▲	0.66 xG/match
Possession	55%●	45%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Girona FC: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.30 xG. Sevilla: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 2.30 xG · Sevilla 0.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	15 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsGirona FC · Sevilla15 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Girona FC	Sevilla	Baseline
Shots	12.9 shots/match	15 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	14.3 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Girona FC

0Draws

0Sevilla

26 Aug 2023Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga1–2

1 May 2023Sevilla — Girona FC · La Liga0–2

14 Jan 2023Girona FC — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 5 too close

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/211.24 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.67 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 21/211.08 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/211.49 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲15 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲12 shots/match

5.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/214.57 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/214.57 shots/match

57%●Possessionseason · 21/2155.5%

4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/21●6.1 corners/match

4.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/214.52 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2112.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2114%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2171%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC82.5

Sevilla77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC80.8

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC35

Sevilla35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC27.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC22.5

Sevilla42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC47.5

Sevilla87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC53.8

Sevilla71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC21 matchesSevilla21 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored21/211.24 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.67 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals21/211.08 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots21/21▲15 shots/match

5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target21/214.57 shots/match

57%●Possession21/2155.5%

4.57 corners/matchCorners21/21●6.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC11 matchesSevilla10 matches

2.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101.1 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.7 goals/match

1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals11/100.73 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots11/1012.8 shots/match

5.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/104 shots/match

60.1%●Possession11/1055.1%

4.64 corners/matchCorners11/10●5.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4