PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoGirona FC
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.62 xG/match0.96 xG/match▲
Possession40%60%●
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls13 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yangel Herrera · Girona FC · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYan Couto · Girona FC · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Girona FC · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViktor Tsygankov · Girona FC · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Girona FC · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Girona FC · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYan Couto · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDaley Blind · Girona FC · 12′ · 0.12 xG · on targetViktor Tsygankov · Girona FC · 25′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPortu · Girona FC · 20′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.63 xG. Girona FC: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Portu · Girona FC · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.63 xG · Girona FC 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%PossessionCelta Vigo · Girona FC●57.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoGirona FCBaseline
Possession44.2%57.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
1Girona FC
Girona FC — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Girona FC · La Liga1–1
Girona FC — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 7 · 5 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲2.36 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.14 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/22▲1.82 xG/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/221.4 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2213 shots/match
12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2214.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲5.14 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224.68 shots/match
44.2%Possessionseason · 22/22●57.2%
5.59 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/224.68 corners/match
5.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲4.73 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲32%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo17.5
Girona FC82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo46.7
Girona FC82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo38.3
Girona FC37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo92.5
Girona FC27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5
Girona FC22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo77.5
Girona FC62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo57.5
Girona FC58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo22 matchesGirona FC22 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲2.36 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲1.14 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲1.82 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots22/2213 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲5.14 shots/match
44.2%Possession22/22●57.2%
5.59 corners/match●Corners22/224.68 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo12 matchesGirona FC11 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲1 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲1.9 xG/match
14.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1112.8 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲4.55 shots/match
48.5%Possession12/11●54.3%
7 corners/match●Corners12/114.73 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoGirona FC
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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