La Liga · 2023Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWWDL

0–3Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Celta Vigo
Shots	18 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.14 xG/match▲	1.1 xG/match
Possession	70%●	30%
Corners	9 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Osasuna: 18 shots, 1 on target, 1.11 xG. Celta Vigo: 6 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.11 xG · Celta Vigo 1.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Osasuna. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.4 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Osasuna.

3.89 days▲Rest daysOsasuna · Celta Vigo7.09 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Osasuna	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Rest days	3.89 days	7.09 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Celta Vigo have a visible away split

moderate

Celta Vigo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Osasuna

2Draws

1Celta Vigo

13 Aug 2023Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

6 Mar 2023Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

5 Nov 2022Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

19 Jan 2022Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

23 Aug 2021Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 3 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.04 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.39 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/23▲1.3 xG/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.41 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲12.7 shots/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2312.4 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.17 shots/match

3.91 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.43 shots/match

49%●Possessionseason · 23/2343.6%

4.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●5.39 corners/match

4.39 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/235.26 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2312.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2317%

74%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2361%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna47.5

Celta Vigo12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna36.7

Celta Vigo48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna56.7

Celta Vigo38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna42.5

Celta Vigo92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna67.5

Celta Vigo32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna27.5

Celta Vigo72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna40

Celta Vigo53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna23 matchesCelta Vigo23 matches

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.04 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.39 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲1.3 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲12.7 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.17 shots/match

49%●Possession23/2343.6%

4.26 corners/matchCorners23/23●5.39 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna12 matchesCelta Vigo11 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/111.55 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals12/111.1 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots12/1110.5 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲4.18 shots/match

49.8%●Possession12/1138.3%

5.25 corners/match●Corners12/113.64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4