PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGirona FCReal Sociedad
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals0.72 xG/match▲0.6 xG/match
Possession48%52%●
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match●
Fouls8 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

André Silva · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Real Sociedad · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaley Blind · Girona FC · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Girona FC · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaley Blind · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Real Sociedad · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 83′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Girona FC · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJon Pacheco · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedViktor Tsygankov · Girona FC · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAleix García · Girona FC · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 72′ · 0.16 xG · on targetValery Fernández · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.74 xG. Real Sociedad: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.74 xG · Real Sociedad 0.59 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Girona FC
2Draws
1Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Girona FC · La Liga1–1
Real Sociedad — Girona FC · La Liga2–2
Girona FC — Real Sociedad · La Liga3–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 6 · 2 too close

2.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.39 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲0.91 goals/match
1.77 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/231.21 xG/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.11 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2311.7 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲11.3 shots/match
5.04 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.91 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.74 shots/match
56.8%●Possessionseason · 23/2354.2%
4.61 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/234.35 corners/match
4.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2316.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲43%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2374%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC82.5
Real Sociedad72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC80
Real Sociedad50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC41.7
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC27.5
Real Sociedad12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC17.5
Real Sociedad92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC57.5
Real Sociedad32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC54.4
Real Sociedad52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC23 matchesReal Sociedad23 matches
2.26 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.39 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲0.91 goals/match
1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals23/231.21 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots23/2311.7 shots/match
5.04 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.91 shots/match
56.8%●Possession23/2354.2%
4.61 corners/match●Corners23/234.35 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2316.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC12 matchesReal Sociedad12 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match
1.65 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.23 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123 shots/match
59.1%●Possession12/1254.4%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/124.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1217.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.29 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGirona FCReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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