La Liga · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Granada

LWLLL

1–1Full-time recap

Las Palmas

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Granada	Las Palmas
Shots	3 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.15 xG/match	1 xG/match▲
Possession	22%	78%●
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	6 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Granada: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.14 xG. Las Palmas: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Granada 0.14 xG · Las Palmas 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%PossessionGranada · Las Palmas●58.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Granada	Las Palmas	Baseline
Possession	46.3%	58.7%	48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Granada

0Draws

1Las Palmas

24 Sept 2023Las Palmas — Granada · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Granada favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 5 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231 goals/match

1.96 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲0.87 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/230.83 xG/match

1.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.45 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2310.2 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2312.7 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.35 shots/match

5.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲4.43 shots/match

46.3%Possessionseason · 23/23●58.7%

3.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●3.91 corners/match

5.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/236.3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲26%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲65%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Granada32.5

Las Palmas87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Granada26.7

Las Palmas19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Granada14.2

Las Palmas57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Granada22.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Granada52.5

Las Palmas27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Granada7.5

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Granada26.9

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Granada23 matchesLas Palmas23 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored23/231 goals/match

1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲0.87 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals23/230.83 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots23/2310.2 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.35 shots/match

46.3%Possession23/23●58.7%

3.7 corners/matchCorners23/23●3.91 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Granada12 matchesLas Palmas12 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.75 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.92 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.74 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match

44.7%Possession12/12●57.8%

3.92 corners/match●Corners12/123.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4