La Liga · 2023

Las Palmas 1–2 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
713
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.732.3
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Las Palmas 2–1. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Real Madrid): shots 7–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.73–2.3, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.91 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · Real Madrid16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasReal MadridBaseline
Shots9.91 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsLas Palmas 7 shots, Real Madrid 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsLas Palmas 2 shots, Real Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.3 xGLas Palmas 0.73 xG, Real Madrid 2.3 xG
  • Possession53%47%Las Palmas 53%, Real Madrid 47%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersLas Palmas 1 corner, Real Madrid 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsLas Palmas 17 fouls, Real Madrid 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 84′ · 0.09 xG · goalAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.17 xG · goalVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.35 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 53′ · 0.35 xG · goalAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.73 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG. Real Madrid: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Javier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 53′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 65′Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.72 xG · Real Madrid 2.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Las Palmas
0Draws
1Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Las Palmas · La Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas22 matchesReal Madrid21 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 2.14 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲ 0.67 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.81 xG/match
9.91 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 16.5 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 6.24 shots/match
57.9%Possession22/21● 59.5%
3.68 corners/matchCorners22/21● 6.24 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2110.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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