La Liga · 2023Thu, 1 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

WDLLW

0–2Full-time recap

Real Madrid

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid
Shots	10 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.83 xG/match	2.02 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Getafe: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.89 xG. Real Madrid: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 0.89 xG · Real Madrid 2.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe.

3 days▲Rest daysGetafe · Real Madrid5.2 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	5.2 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsGetafe · Real Madrid16.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	16.5 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	2.14 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Getafe

0Draws

4Real Madrid

2 Sept 2023Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga2–1

13 May 2023Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga1–0

8 Oct 2022Getafe — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

9 Apr 2022Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga2–0

2 Jan 2022Getafe — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲2.14 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲0.64 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/22▲1.82 xG/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/22▲0.96 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/22▲16.5 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/22▲10.3 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲6.36 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/22▲2.86 shots/match

43.7%Possessionseason · 22/22●59.4%

3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/22●6.23 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲3.18 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2210.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲50%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲95%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe12.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe52.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe36.7

Real Madrid94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe62.5

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe97.5

Real Madrid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe17.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe52.5

Real Madrid70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe22 matchesReal Madrid22 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲2.14 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲0.64 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲1.82 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots22/22▲16.5 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲6.36 shots/match

43.7%Possession22/22●59.4%

3.91 corners/matchCorners22/22●6.23 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe11 matchesReal Madrid12 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored11/12▲1.83 goals/match

0.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲0.67 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals11/12▲1.51 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots11/12▲14.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲5.5 shots/match

46.6%Possession11/12●56.2%

4.27 corners/matchCorners11/12●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.2 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4