La Liga · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LDWWW

1–3Full-time recap

Barcelona

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Barcelona
Shots	13 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.98 xG/match	1.21 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	13 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG. Barcelona: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.03 xG · Barcelona 1.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

7.9 days▲Rest daysDeportivo Alavés · Barcelona2.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Barcelona	Baseline
Rest days	7.9 days	2.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.5%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Barcelona●65%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	41.5%	65%	48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés

1Draws

2Barcelona

12 Nov 2023Barcelona — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1

23 Jan 2022Deportivo Alavés — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

30 Oct 2021Barcelona — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/23▲2.04 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.3 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/23▲2.27 xG/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.11 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲16.4 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲10.7 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲6.35 shots/match

3.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.74 shots/match

41.5%Possessionseason · 23/23●65%

4.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●6.48 corners/match

4.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲3.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲35%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲96%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés7.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés40

Barcelona90.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés59.2

Barcelona71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés97.5

Barcelona52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés57.5

Barcelona12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés62.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés51.9

Barcelona73.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés23 matchesBarcelona23 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲2.04 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.3 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲2.27 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲16.4 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲6.35 shots/match

41.5%Possession23/23●65%

4.87 corners/matchCorners23/23●6.48 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés11 matchesBarcelona11 matches

1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲2 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.27 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲2.17 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots11/1113.9 shots/match

3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5.73 shots/match

42.1%Possession11/11●65.5%

6.09 corners/match●Corners11/115.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4