PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna · La Liga

Sevilla

WLLLL
1–1Historical match

Osasuna

DWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla and Osasuna drew 1–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.831.39
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla and Osasuna drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Osasuna): shots 10–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.83–1.39, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsSevilla 10 shots, Osasuna 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSevilla 5 shots, Osasuna 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.39 xGSevilla 0.83 xG, Osasuna 1.39 xG
  • Possession44%56%Sevilla 44%, Osasuna 56%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersSevilla 2 corners, Osasuna 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsSevilla 19 fouls, Osasuna 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iker Muñoz · Osasuna · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Acuña · Sevilla · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohan Mojica · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarcos Acuña · Sevilla · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 25′ · 0.13 xG · goalDavid García · Osasuna · 55′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 5′ · 0.18 xG · on targetLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 55′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG. Osasuna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 25′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.80 xG · Osasuna 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
2Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Osasuna · La Liga2–3
Osasuna — Sevilla · La Liga2–1
Osasuna — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla22 matchesOsasuna21 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored22/211.24 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.16 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots22/2111.6 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/213.81 shots/match
55% ●Possession22/2148.9%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners22/213.95 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls22/2114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headSevilla — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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