PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Atlético Madrid 2–0 Valencia · La Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–0.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.380.53
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Valencia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Valencia): shots 12–10, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.38–0.53, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsAtlético Madrid 12 shots, Valencia 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsAtlético Madrid 8 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG0.53 xGAtlético Madrid 2.38 xG, Valencia 0.53 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atlético Madrid 54%, Valencia 46%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersAtlético Madrid 3 corners, Valencia 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsAtlético Madrid 9 fouls, Valencia 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Memphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoman Yaremchuk · Valencia · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefan Savić · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCristhian Mosquera · Valencia · 74′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlberto Mari · Valencia · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.35 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 16′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.36 xG. Valencia: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 45′Memphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.36 xG · Valencia 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Madrid
1Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–0
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga3–2
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid21 matchesValencia22 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/221.23 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.18 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.07 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots21/229.59 shots/match
5.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.5 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession21/2244.5%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners21/223.23 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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