La Liga · 2023

Almería 2–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Almería and Atlético Madrid drew 2–2.

Shots
918
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
0.481.55
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Almería and Atlético Madrid drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Almería – Atlético Madrid): shots 9–18, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 0.48–1.55, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

weak

Almería's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible home split

moderate

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsAlmería 9 shots, Atlético Madrid 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsAlmería 4 shots, Atlético Madrid 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG1.55 xGAlmería 0.48 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.55 xG
  • Possession40%60%Almería 40%, Atlético Madrid 60%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAlmería 2 corners, Atlético Madrid 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsAlmería 13 fouls, Atlético Madrid 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Choco Lozano · Almería · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIddrisu Baba · Almería · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan Savić · Atlético Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuka Romero · Almería · 27′ · 0.03 xG · goalSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChoco Lozano · Almería · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.08 xG · goalReinildo Mandava · Atlético Madrid · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 64′ · 0.10 xG · goalMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 43′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Melero · Almería · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.17 xG · on targetÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.26 xG · goalÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almería: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.48 xG. Atlético Madrid: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Luka Romero · Almería · 27′Luka Romero · Almería · 64′Ángel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 2′Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 0.48 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Almería
1Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Almería · La Liga2–1
Atlético Madrid — Almería · La Liga2–1
Almería — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería26 matchesAtlético Madrid26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 2 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.76 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/2612.6 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.62 shots/match
46.7%Possession26/26● 51.3%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners26/264.73 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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