La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 1–0 Almería · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–0.

Shots
153
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
1.480.11
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Almería 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Almería): shots 15–3, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 1.48–0.11, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible away split

moderate

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Almería12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoAlmeríaBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsCelta Vigo 15 shots, Almería 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Almería 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG0.11 xGCelta Vigo 1.48 xG, Almería 0.11 xG
  • Possession67%33%Celta Vigo 67%, Almería 33%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersCelta Vigo 7 corners, Almería 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsCelta Vigo 8 fouls, Almería 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Langa · Almería · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Langa · Almería · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 73′ · 0.02 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChoco Lozano · Almería · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.47 xG. Almería: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.47 xG · Almería 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
1Almería
Almería — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–3
Celta Vigo — Almería · La Liga2–2
Almería — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Almería in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo27 matchesAlmería27 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.93 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.04 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.26 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots27/2712.3 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target27/274.07 shots/match
44.1%Possession27/27● 46.2%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners27/274.74 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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