PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Cádiz · La Liga

1–1Historical match

Cádiz

DDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Cádiz drew 1–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.711
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Cádiz drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Cádiz): shots 9–16, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.71–1, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cádiz's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cádiz's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match9.93 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsRayo Vallecano · Cádiz15.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoCádizBaseline
Fouls15.5 fouls/match15.6 fouls/match12.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsRayo Vallecano 9 shots, Cádiz 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 5 shots, Cádiz 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG1 xGRayo Vallecano 0.71 xG, Cádiz 1 xG
  • Possession53%47%Rayo Vallecano 53%, Cádiz 47%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersRayo Vallecano 4 corners, Cádiz 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsRayo Vallecano 14 fouls, Cádiz 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximiliano Gómez · Cádiz · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximiliano Gómez · Cádiz · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Meré · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Gómez · Cádiz · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Meré · Cádiz · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRadamel Falcao · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRubén Sobrino · Cádiz · 50′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.69 xG. Cádiz: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Florian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′Javier Hernández · Cádiz · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 0.69 xG · Cádiz 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
2Cádiz
Cádiz — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Cádiz — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Cádiz · La Liga5–1
Cádiz — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–0
Rayo Vallecano — Cádiz · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Cádiz in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano27 matchesCádiz27 matches
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.67 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.41 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.87 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots27/279.93 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession27/2742.1%
4.19 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.33 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2715.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoCádiz
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Cádiz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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