PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Inter 1–0 Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League

Inter

WWWDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–0.

Shots
197
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
2.30.62
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Atlético Madrid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Atlético Madrid): shots 19–7, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 2.3–0.62, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

weak

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsInter 19 shots, Atlético Madrid 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsInter 5 shots, Atlético Madrid 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.62 xGInter 2.3 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.62 xG
  • Possession56%44%Inter 56%, Atlético Madrid 44%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersInter 3 corners, Atlético Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsInter 10 fouls, Atlético Madrid 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcus Thuram · Inter · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKoke · Atlético Madrid · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · Atlético Madrid · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 77′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 79′ · 0.07 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 43′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 88′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 38′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 49′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 63′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 79′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG. Atlético Madrid: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.26 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.59 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter7 matchesAtlético Madrid7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.43 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
2.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.44 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.9 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/74.57 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession7/751.7%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.86 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterAtlético Madrid
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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