PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Inter 4–0 Salernitana · Serie A

Inter

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4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 4–0.

Shots
261
Shots on target
100
Expected goals
3.990.03
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Salernitana 4–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Salernitana): shots 26–1, shots on target 10–0, expected goals 3.99–0.03, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Salernitana10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterSalernitanaBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Salernitana have a visible away split

strong

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots1 shotInter 26 shots, Salernitana 1 shot
  • Shots on target10 shots0 shotsInter 10 shots, Salernitana 0 shots
  • Expected goals3.99 xG0.03 xGInter 3.99 xG, Salernitana 0.03 xG
  • Possession73%27%Inter 73%, Salernitana 27%
  • Corners18 corners0 cornersInter 18 corners, Salernitana 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsInter 9 fouls, Salernitana 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 26′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 19′ · 0.06 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 30′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 51′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 62′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 59′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 17′ · 0.34 xG · goalNicolò Barella · Inter · 6′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 3′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 40′ · 0.43 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 38′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 90′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 26 shots, 10 on target, 4.06 xG. Salernitana: 1 shots, 0 on target, 0.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 17′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 19′Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 40′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 4.06 xG · Salernitana 0.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
1Draws
0Salernitana
Salernitana — Inter · Serie A0–4
Salernitana — Inter · Serie A1–1
Inter — Salernitana · Serie A2–0
Inter — Salernitana · Serie A5–0
Salernitana — Inter · Serie A0–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Salernitana in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter24 matchesSalernitana25 matches
2.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/250.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/252.04 goals/match
2.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/250.76 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots24/2510.3 shots/match
5.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.2 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession24/2543.8%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners24/254 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterSalernitana
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headInter — Salernitana
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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