PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Napoli

LWDWL
1–1Full-time recap

Genoa

DWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNapoliGenoa
Shots25 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.37 xG/match▲0.27 xG/match
Possession74%●26%
Corners7 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aarón Martín · Genoa · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNatan · Napoli · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPasquale Mazzocchi · Napoli · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Napoli · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Napoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHamed Junior Traorè · Napoli · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 15′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 47′ · 0.05 xG · goalCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJesper Lindstrøm · Napoli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 3′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNatan · Napoli · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 74′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 25 shots, 7 on target, 1.41 xG. Genoa: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cyril Ngonge · Napoli · 90′Morten Frendrup · Genoa · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.41 xG · Genoa 0.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Genoa10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliGenoaBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Napoli
1Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Napoli · Serie A2–2
Napoli — Genoa · Serie A3–0
Genoa — Napoli · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 1 · 3 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/251.04 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 24/251.24 goals/match
1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/250.84 xG/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/251.05 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2510.4 shots/match
10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2512.6 shots/match
5.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/253.36 shots/match
3.42 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/253.88 shots/match
60.5%●Possessionseason · 24/2543%
6.17 corners/match●Cornersseason · 24/253.8 corners/match
3.46 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/255 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2511.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2520%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/25▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli97.5
Genoa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli82.5
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli75.8
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli62.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli12.5
Genoa27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli92.5
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli72.5
Genoa16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Napoli24 matchesGenoa25 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored24/251.04 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed24/251.24 goals/match
1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals24/250.84 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots24/2510.4 shots/match
5.21 shots/match▲Shots on target24/253.36 shots/match
60.5%●Possession24/2543%
6.17 corners/match●Corners24/253.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2511.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Napoli12 matchesGenoa13 matches
1.42 goals/match▲Goals scored12/130.85 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲1.15 goals/match
1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals12/130.8 xG/match
20.4 shots/match▲Shots12/139.08 shots/match
6.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/132.85 shots/match
63.1%●Possession12/1342.3%
7.67 corners/match●Corners12/132.69 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.42 fouls/matchFouls12/1311.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.88 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNapoliGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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