PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Genoa 1–4 Atalanta · Serie A

Genoa

DDWWD
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 1–4.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
0.772.1
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Genoa 4–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Atalanta): shots 15–14, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 0.77–2.1, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.91 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsGenoa 15 shots, Atalanta 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsGenoa 6 shots, Atalanta 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG2.1 xGGenoa 0.77 xG, Atalanta 2.1 xG
  • Possession55%45%Genoa 55%, Atalanta 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersGenoa 7 corners, Atalanta 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsGenoa 8 fouls, Atalanta 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 32′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Vogliacco · Genoa · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 51′ · 0.05 xG · goalAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.06 xG · goalMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.21 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 88′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.54 xG · on targetAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.67 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.79 xG. Atalanta: 14 shots, 9 on target, 2.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 51′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 22′Teun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 55′Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′El Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.79 xG · Atalanta 2.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
2Draws
1Atalanta
Atalanta — Genoa · Serie A2–0
Atalanta — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Atalanta · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa24 matchesAtalanta23 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored24/23▲ 1.91 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed24/23▲ 1 goal/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.48 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 5.52 shots/match
43.8%Possession24/23● 51.2%
3.88 corners/matchCorners24/23● 5.74 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headGenoa — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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