PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDeportivo AlavésMallorca
Shots9 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.47 xG/match2.27 xG/match▲
Possession52%●48%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmar Mascarell · Mallorca · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdel Abqar · Deportivo Alavés · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Sola · Deportivo Alavés · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavi López · Deportivo Alavés · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Mallorca · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 27′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCarlos Benavídez · Deportivo Alavés · 76′ · 0.11 xG · goalCyle Larin · Mallorca · 86′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Mallorca · 14′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 88′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Mallorca · 21′ · 0.42 xG · on targetMatija Nastasić · Mallorca · 88′ · 0.46 xG · goalNemanja Radonjić · Mallorca · 32′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG. Mallorca: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Carlos Benavídez · Deportivo Alavés · 76′Matija Nastasić · Mallorca · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 0.46 xG · Mallorca 2.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés
1Draws
2Mallorca
Mallorca — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga0–0
Mallorca — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Mallorca · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 7 too close

0.96 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.88 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.31 goals/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 26/261.1 xG/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.26 xG/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2610.7 shots/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2612.9 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/263.46 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/263.85 shots/match
42.1%Possessionseason · 26/26●43.9%
5.12 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/264.38 corners/match
4.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.54 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2615.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2623%
62%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2658%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés7.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés40
Mallorca15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés60.8
Mallorca51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés97.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés42.5
Mallorca77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés67.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés52.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés26 matchesMallorca26 matches
0.96 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.88 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.31 goals/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals26/261.1 xG/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shots26/2610.7 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target26/263.46 shots/match
42.1%Possession26/26●43.9%
5.12 corners/match●Corners26/264.38 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés13 matchesMallorca13 matches
1.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.69 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.36 xG/match
13.7 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.9 shots/match
3.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.31 shots/match
43.5%●Possession13/1341%
6.15 corners/match●Corners13/133.31 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsDeportivo AlavésMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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